Wizards snap 6-game skid with 106-103 win over Philadelphia 76ers

The Wizards broke two trends – 76ers‘ a five-game winning streak and their own six-game losing streak – with a 106-103 win at Philadelphia.

With Bradley Beal out for a second straight game, the Wizards were again led by a stellar performance from Kyle Kuzma, who scored 24 effective points without dominating the ball and added three blocks.

Corey Kispert was excellent off the bench with 11 points on 6 shots (including three 3-pointers) and 6 rebounds in just 18 minutes.

Spencer Dinwiddie shot poorly (just 4-16 from the floor) but finished with a triple-double – 14 points, 12 rebounds (including 5 offensive rebounds) and 10 assists.

Rui Hachimura had a good scoring game – 7-10 shooting – and added three assists.

Daniel Gafford withstood an aggressive Joel Embiid (40.5% usage rate!!!) about as well as anyone could do considering the path of destruction Embiid has come down the league in course of the last two months.

Embiid was named Eastern Conference Player of the Month in December, then played even better in January. Last night he had screaming numbers – 27 points, 14 rebounds, 6 assists – but was limited to 11-27 shooting from the floor.

Philadelphia’s player of the game was Tyrese Maxey, who constantly looked like the Wizards’ defenders were playing in slow motion. He finished with 22 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and if the three-point shooting is real, he has a chance to be a quality guard for many years to come.

The Wizards won despite the 76ers shooting better from the floor and won the turnover battle because Washington smashed the glass and grabbed 15 offensive rebounds. Credit for that goes to Dinwiddie and Gafford, who each had 5 offensive boards.

Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball – shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), foul (free throws made).

I simplified them a bit. Although factors are usually presented as percentages, this is most useful over a full season. In a single game, the raw numbers for each category are easier to understand.

Four factors: Wizards 106 to 76ers 103

FOUR FACTORS 76ERS WIZARDS
FOUR FACTORS 76ERS WIZARDS
GFE 0.511 0.506
OREB ten 15
TOV 4 8
MTF ten 15
RHYTHM 90
ORTG 115 118

Below are some performance metrics, including the Average Player Production Game Score (PPA) (very similar to what I used to call the Dashboard Impact Score). PPA is my overall production metric, crediting players for the things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playing, defending) and hitting them for the things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, poor defense, fouls).

Game Score (GmSC) converts individual production into points on this game’s scoreboard. The scale is the same as points and reflects the value of each player. total contributions for the game. The lowest possible GmSC is zero.

PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small samples, the numbers can get weird. But some readers prefer it, so I’m also including PPP scores. Reminder: in PPP, 100 is average, higher is better, and override level is 45. For a single game, override level isn’t very useful, and I reiterate caution about small samples producing results strange.

POSS is the number of possessions each player had on the floor in this game.

PTS = points scored

ORTG = Offensive Rating, which is RBIs per individual possession x 100. The league average last season was 112.3. RBIs are not the same as runs scored. He understands the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as splitting the credit when receiving an assist.

USG = offensive usage rate. The average is 20%.

ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and slightly modified by me. ORTG is a measure of efficiency that takes into account the value of shots, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.

Key stats: Assistants

WIZARDS MIN POSSIBLE Please ORTG USG APP GmSC +/-
WIZARDS MIN POSSIBLE Please ORTG USG APP GmSC +/-
Kyle Kuzma 35 66 24 130 23.3% 269 32.6 8
Corey Kispert 18 33 11 180 17.7% 337 20.4 -3
Spencer Dinwiddie 30 56 14 102 36.3% 126 12.9 4
Rui Hachimura 19 36 14 134 26.5% 193 12.6 ten
Daniel Gaffford 21 40 9 138 20.1% 126 9.3 -seven
Montrezl Harrell 27 50 11 147 12.7% 92 8.4 3
Deni Avdija 26 48 8 98 13.5% 63 5.6 8
Raul Neto 17 32 9 120 22.7% 73 4.2 0
Aaron’s Vacation 18 34 2 105 7.4% -37 0.0 -8
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 29 54 4 55 14.0% -61 0.0 0

Key stats: 76ers

76ERS MIN POSSIBLE Please ORTG USG APP GmSC +/-
76ERS MIN POSSIBLE Please ORTG USG APP GmSC +/-
Tyrese Maxey 38 70 22 149 21.7% 270 40.3 9
Joel Embid 35 66 27 105 40.5% 130 18.1 4
Isaiah Joe 25 46 11 163 12.2% 161 15.7 -1
Tobias Harris 41 77 18 99 22.7% 61 10.0 -1
Danny Green 27 50 6 143 9.1% 81 8.6 -5
Matisse Thybulle 34 63 3 116 4.0% 40 5.3 -4
André Drummond 13 24 4 149 19.1% 91 4.7 -seven
George Niang 24 45 12 92 24.0% 3 0.3 -2
Myles Powell 4 seven 0 0 10.4% -349 0.0 -8

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