Phillies vs Marlins Odds, Betting Lines & Pick (October 3)

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Famous Jazz Chisholm Jr, Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (2) and left fielder Lewis Brinson, right, celebrate after a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday, October 2, 2021, in Miami. Miami won 3-1. (AP Photo / Lynne Sladky)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies are road favorites by -140 against the Miami Marlins in a game between their rivals NL East on Sunday, October 3.
  • In the last five games played in Miami between these two teams, the Marlins have three wins
  • In 18 games against each other this season, each team has nine wins

In the National League East Division title race, the Philadelphia Phillies (82-79, 35-45 on the outside) failed. Depending on the prospect, the Miami Marlins (66-95, 41-39 at home) can take credit or be blamed for at least contributing to Philly’s demise. The Marlins have won nine of Philadelphia’s 18 games this season.

The Phillies enter the final day of the MLB regular season five games behind the division-winning Atlanta Braves. Playing a .500 ball against their division’s cellar team proved costly for Philadelphia.

If it’s any consolation, punters are picking the Phillies as their favorites on the -140 road to take the win on Sunday and take home the Marlins Seasonal Series. Philadelphia is just 14-18 as an away favorite this season.

Phillies vs Marlins odds

Team Moneyline Race line Total
Philadelphia Philly -140 -1.5 (+130) O 7 (-105)
Miami Marlins +120 +1.5 (-150) U7 (-115)

Odds as of October 2 at DraftKings

The first pitch for Sunday’s game at LoanDepot Park is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. The weather forecast calls for showers, a wind of 19 mph and a temperature of 88 degrees.

Lopez ends the marlin season

Originally, right-hander and NL Cy Young Award contender Zack Wheeler was the intended starter for the Phillies. However, with nothing to play, Philadelphia manager Joe Girardi decided to shut down Wheeler for the season.

Certainly Wheeler’s absence should change the betting line on his game. He’s been causing a stir this season. Wheeler will finish 14-10 with a 2.78 ERA. He leads all of baseball in pitched innings, full games (3), shutouts (2), batters faced (849) and bWAR pitchers (7.5). Wheeler leads the National League with 247 strikeouts. According to FanGraphs, he is second in the NL in FIP (2.58) and WAR (7.3).

The Phillies haven’t named a starter for Sunday, but it will be either right-hander Adonis Medina or southpaw Bailey Falter.

Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez also had an exceptional year when he was arrested in July with rotator cuff strain in his pitcher’s shoulder.

After a 0-3 start to the year, Lopez went 5-2 in his next seven decisions. He was 3-1 in his last four verdicts when the injury ended his season. Lopez has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 15 of his 19 starts during the 2021 season.

He faced the Phils once his season, May 27. Lopez worked seven innings, allowing two earned runs. He was not included in the decision as Philadelphia won 3-2.

Lopez pitched two innings during an appearance in rehab at Triple-A Jacksonville on September 2. In addition, he worked three mock innings during a bullpen session last Tuesday. Last season, his PIF of 3.09 placed 15th among MLB pitchers who pitched at least 50 innings.

Batting average vs starting pitchers

Phillies hitters Batting average vs. Lopez
Alec bohm .167
Freddy galvis .333
Didi Gregory .000
Bryce harper .400
Odubel herrera .333
Travis Jankowski .000
Andrew Knapp .000
Andrew McCutchen .200
Brad miller .250
JT Realmuto .000
John Segura .333
Ronald torreyes .000
Matt Vierling .000

Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper is 4-for-10 (0.400) with three RBIs against Lopez. Third baseman Freddy Galvis is 1-for-3 with a homerun and four RBIs.

Philadelphia second baseman Jean Segura is 2 for 6 (0.333) with an RBI. Center Odubel Herrera is also 2 for 6 (0.333).

World Series 2021 odds monitoring

Phillies pick vs. Marlins

Segura (back) has missed the last two games but could start on Sunday. Phillies backup wide receiver Andrew Knapp hits .156. That’s the lowest average for a Phillies player with at least 150 home plate appearances in a season since Don Casey hit 0.152 in 1886.

The Phillies have recalled right-hander Seranthony Dominguez and he will pitch at some point on Sunday. At only 26, he made his return from Operation Tommy John. Dominguez was going to be a key part of the Phils’ enclosure before the injury. He hasn’t appeared in MLB since 2019.

From 2018-19, Dominguez made 80 MLB appearances. He posted a 3.27 ERA, 3.20 FIP, 30.2% take-off rate and 10.0% walk rate.

A 3-1 victory on Saturday by the Marlins ended a two-game winning streak for Philly in Miami. The Marlins have won 8 of the last 12 games against the Phillies in Miami.

Pick: Miami Marlins (+120).

Robert duff

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