Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (62-49) and New York food (73-39) meet Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET to open a 3-game NL East series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze the lines of Tipico Sportsbook around the Phillies at the Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series of the season: New York leads 9-3. The Mets have won 4 straight against the Phils since May 8.

The Phillies head north with a 6-1 home record. Since July 27, the Philadelphia pitcher has handed out a 3.37 ERA. The club went 12-2 during that streak. One thing to watch out for, though, OF Kyle Schwarber left Thursday’s game with a calf problem. It’s probably debatable for this one.

The Mets have the RHP ace Max Scherzer over the hill, and they are 8-2 and 15-5 in their last 10 and 20 games, respectively. They are healthy at the right time.

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The Phillies at the Mets have planned starters

HPL Ranger Suarez vs HPR Max Scherzer

Suarez (8-5, 3.68 ERA) is selected for his 20th start of the season. It has a WHIP of 1.37, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 at 100 1/3 IP.

  • Has had a 2.63 ERA since June 17.
  • Pitched 11 scoreless innings in his last 2 road starts.

Scherzer (8-2, 1.98 ERA) has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 at 95 2/3 IP over 15 starts.

  • After 7 IP shutouts (and 11K) in his last start (Saturday against the Atlanta Braves).
  • Wrote a 1.77 ERA, 0.85 WHIP on 45 2/3 IP at Citi Field.
  • Held current Philadelphia batters to a .597 low-contact OPS in previous meetings.

Phillies to Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; go to the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds center for a complete list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Bet -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-135) | Mets -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Phillies Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 3, Mets 2

silver line

Scherzer just started back-to-back with 100-plus shots, and the Phillies kinda caught him the last two times he faced them.

The visitor 9 is the skinny, but it will take a +185 to trigger a partial unit play. PASS Otherwise.

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Run line/Against the spread

Pretty much the same math as above: Phils +1.5 is lean but only at -125 or better. Otherwise, O/U stock figures as the best route to profits on Friday’s open. PASS.

More less

The starting pitch match is a run eliminator. And the left-right matchup splits into a weaker platoon on both sides.

Both relievers have had shaky rushing numbers over the past month, the Phillies in particular (5.08 ERA last 30 days). But both feature effective analytical lines that point to better days.

On a breezy evening at pitcher-friendly Citi Field, TAKE UNDER 6.5 (+105).

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