Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (27-29) and Milwaukee Brewers (33-25) meet Thursday to wrap up a 3-game series at American Family Field. The contest is scheduled to start at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines of Tipico Sportsbook around the Phillies vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series of the season: Philadelphia leads 3-2.

The The Phillies have won 6 straight games. Philadelphia notched a 10-0 victory Wednesday and scored 6 or more points in 5 of 6 wins. Philly is 9-7 with a solid .801 OPS in its last 16 road games.

The The Brewers have lost 5 in a row and 7 of their last 8. Milwaukee’s offense has beaten .209/.281/.341 (.622 OPS) since May 22.

Phillies at Brewers projected starters

HPR Zach Eflin vs HPR Corbin Burnes

Eflin (2-4, 3.88 ERA) is selected for his 10th start of the season. It has a WHIP of 1.14, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 at 51 IP.

  • Tossed 8 scoreless innings in his last start against the Los Angeles Angels on Friday, and it was a nice rebound after coughing up 7 runs in 6 innings at the New York Mets on May 28.
  • Has a 1.16 ERA at home versus an 8.10 ERA on the road, and that’s nothing new. Since 2020, he has recorded a 2.53 ERA in home games and a 5.89 figure on the road.

Burnes (3-3, 2.50 ERA) has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 at 68 1/3 IP in 11 starts.

  • Allowed 5R in 3 2/3 IP in his last start Friday against the San Diego Padres. He had given the Brewers 6+ IPs in 9 straight starts prior to this round.

Phillies at Brewers dimensions and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; go to the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds center for a complete list. Lines last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Racing Line (RL): Phillies +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Phillies picks and predictions at Brewers

Prediction

Phillies 4, Brewers 3

silver line

Records in 1-point games (Phillies 5-10, Brewers 13-7) and some other general factors bring some systemic tilt to Philly’s side. It’s done for a few betting wins in this series. However, the lean here is somewhat controlled by Eflin’s on-road performance and more so by price.

There is some value on the PHILLIES (+140) but it’s a PASS if the price goes down.

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Run line/Against the spread

Taking the run-and-a-half insurance due to Eflin Road Wrecks is an enticing idea, but the layout is too much. PASS.

More less

Both lifters are in good condition. Eflin’s results against teams not named the New York Mets have been impressive. The tag here is an outlier in the market. BACK AT LEAST 7.5 (-125).

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